ToneLoc wrote: ↑
Sat Mar 21, 2020 10:10 am
Whiskyman wrote: ↑
Fri Mar 20, 2020 11:42 pm
What more info ? The news from China, where it all kicked off (pardon the football pun) is that there are no new cases. OK we are a bit behind China so a few more people will fall off their perches. Sad, but let's face it people die all the time, particularly the sick and the old.
Yes but some contagions don’t half shove them through the door eh?
China’s numbers have steadied after 2 months because the country was in total lockdown (easier in a totalitarian state) and large parts of it remain so.
Do you think that means that the virus has now gotten bored and has retreated back into the intestinal tracts of Wuhan bats?
Italy’s mortality rate is 10 times higher per capita than China and the upward curve continues to go more vertical each day......
I have a sneaking suspicion your casual comments of “normality” will be yet further distant from reality in 3 months time.
Naturally though, for all our sakes and yours, I hope you’re right.
What is encouraging, and rarely reported although thankfully the figures are now being given some publicity, is that (at least as per the BBC website) globally there have been 270,000 reported cases and 90,000 have recovered. 11,000 deaths have occurred during the same time period.
The virus is NOT a death sentence, although listening to some you would be excused dfor thinking it is, and many scientists believe the way to deal effectively with it is to isolate those most at risk but allow the rest of us to catch it and thus start to develop the herd immunity which, apparently, can only work if, depending on which figures are right, between 60 and 80 per cent of the population have caught the thing and recovered from it.
You're right that the virus won't get bored. What is likely to happen, imo, is that once the present restrictions are eased it will resurface because the immunity which we humans build up against most viruses by actually catching them, has not been allowed to develop naturally.